The Babe Theory Of Political Movements.
Mar. 21, 2005 11:50 AM
Iran's Sham Election In Houston.
June 20, 2005 5:36 AM
Yes, Kanye, Bush Does Care.
Oct. 31, 2005 12:41 AM
Health Care vs. Wealth Care.
Nov. 23, 2005 3:28 PM
Americans Voting With Their Feet.
Nov. 30, 2005 1:33 PM
Idea Majorities Matter.
May 12, 2006 6:15 PM
Twilight Zone Economics.
Oct. 17, 2006 12:30 AM
The "Shrinking" Middle Class.
Dec. 13, 2006 1:01 PM
From Ashes, GOP Opportunities.
Dec. 18, 2006 6:37 PM
Battle Between Entitlements & Pork.
Dec. 21, 2006 12:31 PM
Let Economic Freedom Reign.
Dec. 22, 2006 10:22 PM
Biggest Health Care Moment In Decades.
July 25, 2007 4:32 PM
Unions Antithetical to Liberty.
May 28, 2008 11:12 PM
Right To Work States Rock.
June 9, 2008 12:25 PM
Social Security Reform Thursday.
March 13, 2008
Caption Contest: Enter Today!
Due: July 29, 2008
The Carnival Of Classiness.
Mar. 14, 2006
Quotational Therapy: Obama.
Apr. 4, 2008
Mainstream Melee: Wolfowitz.
May 19, 2007
Pundit Roundtable: Leaks.
July 9, 2006
A WILLisms.com(ic), by Ken McCracken
July 14, 2006
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2004 Election Data: Big GOP Opportunities.
John Fund has a great piece in today's OpinionJournal.com, explaining how, after months of data collection and number crunching on the part of a database firm called Polidata, the 2004 election numbers reveal that the Republican Party is in great political shape moving ahead:
In 2000, Mr. Bush carried 228 congressional districts to Al Gore's 207 on his way to one of the closest victories in American history. This year Mr. Bush carried 255 congressional districts, nearly six in 10. The number of "turnover" districts--those voting for a House member of one party and a presidential candidate of the other--continues to shrink, mostly due to the growth of straight-ticket voting and gerrymandering. There were only 59 such districts in 2004, compared with 86 in 2000 and 110 when Bill Clinton beat Bob Dole in 1996.
Another reason Republicans ought to be optimistic going forward into the next decade:
Republican-leaning areas of the country, generally, are growing, sometimes explosively. Democrat-leaning areas of the country, generally, are losing population (or, at least, stagnating).
We divided the states into red and blue based on the recent "red for Republican, blue for Democrat" method. A red state must have voted for George W. Bush in both 2000 and 2004, while a blue state must have voted against him both years. Iowa, the only purple state affected by projected reapportionment, went for Gore in 2000 and Bush in 2004.
Our map differs significantly, though, from Polidata's, as we included whether the state was Republican-leaning or Democrat-leaning.
Examining the data, there are several demographic trends that benefit Republicans heading into the future, including Latinos becoming Republicans, Republicans having more children, and Democrats becoming increasingly disconnected, culturally, from the people residing in the vast majority of the country.
Hilariously, Ruy Teixeira is still sticking with that whole "Donkey Rising" dream he has prophesied for years now.
How embarrassing for ole Ruy to have written a book called The Emerging Democratic Majority, then feel he has to stick with that hypothesis, spinning any slanted poll that remotely proves that point, even as his theory becomes increasingly absurd with each election.
Bush defeated Kerry in 214 congressional districts represented by Republican lawmakers and defeated Kerry in 41 congressional districts held by Democrats. In contrast, Republicans only have 18 seats where Kerry defeated Bush, less than half as many....
More to come on these numbers, so stay tuned.
Posted by Will Franklin · 4 April 2005 01:28 PM
"Republicans having more children"
That reminds me of an old joke.
Two college students are talking about politics, and the subject comes to party affiliation. The fist students says "I'm a Republican, because my parents are Republican."
The second student replies, "Yeah, that's why I'm a Democrat."
"Because your parents are Democrats, too?" queries the first student.
"No," replies the second "because they're Republican.'
Posted by: Ian at April 4, 2005 02:18 PM
I love jokes!...But really no joke
Posted by: Zsa Zsa at April 4, 2005 08:53 PM
I have a joke! What do you call a liberal who is for a right to life?... ok! do you give up....rare
Posted by: Zsa Zsa at April 4, 2005 09:04 PM
Another reason Republicans can be optimistic for the future is the way the Democrats refuse to get anything done.
Posted by: Zsa Zsa at April 5, 2005 10:30 AM