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Willisms

« Some Call It A Bonfire/Carnival Of Classiness... | WILLisms.com | Trivia Tidbit Of The Day: Part 99 -- Foreign Aid. »

The Roe Effect.

James Taranto of OpinionJournal.com takes a fresh look at the Roe effect (that abortion, eventually, helps Republicans, politically):

Roe v. Wade is a study in unanticipated consequences. By establishing a constitutional right to abortion, the justices of the U.S. Supreme Court no doubt thought they were settling the issue for good, accelerating a process of liberalization that was already under way in 1973. But instead of consensus, the result was polarization....

It is a statement of fact, not a moral judgment, to observe that every pregnancy aborted today results in one fewer eligible voter 18 years from now. More than 40 million legal abortions have occurred in the United States since 1973, and these are not randomly distributed across the population. Black women, for example, have a higher abortion ratio (percentage of pregnancies aborted) than Hispanic women, whose abortion ratio in turn is higher than that of non-Hispanic whites. Since blacks vote Democratic in far greater proportions than Hispanics, and whites are more Republican than Hispanics or blacks, ethnic disparities in abortion ratios would be sufficient to give the GOP a significant boost--surely enough to account for George W. Bush's razor-thin Florida victory in 2000.

A rare must-read, in light of the upcoming Supreme Court nomination.

Posted by Will Franklin · 5 July 2005 11:35 PM

Comments

Interesting concept...

Posted by: Zsa Zsa at July 6, 2005 09:15 AM