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A WILLisms.com(ic), by Ken McCracken
July 14, 2006
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Update: I bumped this up to keep it going! My apologies to my co-bloggers Jay Tea and Justin B. (who I hope will both chime in at some point).
And do go check out Tigerhawk's excellent analysis Israel At War.
I want to open up the Pundit Roundtable for this Sunday to anyone who wants to prepare something to send in, or just get their thoughts together and comment on this question:
Israel is now fighting a two-front war against Hezboallah and Hamas. Tell us what outcome you would like to see, and make a bold prediction and tell us what you think will actually happen.
Give us any good links or juicy information you have on this conflict.
Sharpen your prognostication skills and tell us the future! May the best pundit win.
If you are a blogger who has been to the Roundtable before and want to join in again, email me something by noon Sunday.
If you want to be a guest, by all means email me at firstname.lastname@example.org.
Posted by Ken McCracken · 15 July 2006 12:52 PM
Well. You'll have to trundle on over to TigerHawk and start scrolling! Short version, though: Iran and its clients (Hamas, Hez and Syria) are trying to assume control of the agenda of the anti-Israeli bloc, which has been the province of Fatah, Egypt, and Saudi Arabia since early on. Iran wants to do this because it views leadership on the fight with Israel as essential to leadership in the Muslim world, an objective of Iran's since 1979. That is why Iran is overtly backing Hez, and Saudi Arabia is overtly denouncing Hez.
The big question: If Israel pushes for the destruction of Hezbollah, what will Iran do? Can it afford to let its proxy get wiped out without intervening? Will other proxies be willing to rely on the Islamic Republic's "pie crust" promises if it shys away from whacking Israel now.
This could turn into a huge fight.
Posted by: TigerHawk at July 14, 2006 09:12 PM
Posted by: lester at July 15, 2006 03:22 PM
Personally, I think the end result of this week will be that Israel is simply back to where it was before the ill-fated "Roadmap to Peace" started and that is occupying Southern Lebanon and Gaza. All the PA and by Proxy, Iran and Syria did is justify Israel never making any concessions for peace again and building higher and thicker walls and further isolating the Palestinians.
The reconciliation period is over. Israel knew it was at war despite giving back the disputed lands, which it only occupied as a buffer zone to prevent attacks. They tried the roadmap and negotiated in good faith and the PA did nothing and did not live up to a single promise.
Here is my bold prediction--the condemnations from the UN Security Council against Israel will be fare more harsh than those for North Korea and Iran over their missile and Nuke programs. Syria and Iran will not even get a UN slap on the wrists for their actions in provoking this.
Less bold prediction--Muslim "Charities" will see an unexpected surge in charitable contributions for Palestinians injured at work, but only if their work involves killing babies in cafes and grandmothers on busses.
Anyone that thinks this week was some major escalation in the conflict is smoking crack. There was a temporary lull in the fighting, but the war was still occurring and the PA, Iran, Syria, Hamas, et al, were just regrouping to wipe Israel off the map. Note to nutjobs in Middle East--stop f-ing with Israel. These people survived ovens, gas chambers, France selling them out, and 60 years of hell and Muslim attacks while establishing their country. They ain't rolling over. When you see people with tattoos on their forearms of numbers, these people are not intimidated by a couple of kids being abducted and by a few rockets. Iran--Drop a nuke on 'em. If it kills 6M of them, you have barely scratched the surface of what they endured in WWII. If a complex system of ovens and gas chambers could not wipe the Jews off the map, me thinks that a country whose military might consists of 18 year olds with bombs made into vests is not going to do what Germany and its war machine and technical knowhow could not.
Least bold prediction of all--Israel will NOT BE WIPED OFF THE MAP by the Syrians or Iranians. I wish Iran or Syria would push this just one step further and let Israel attack their infrastructure. Israel has battle plans for everything that has happened and already knew every single target to attack. These terrorists can stage a little ambush here or there and abduct a kid or two. You are fighting what amounts to the second best military power in the world. A kidnapping is not going to intimidate them.
Posted by: Justin B at July 16, 2006 02:03 AM