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« Wednesday Caption Contest: Part 78. | WILLisms.com | Social Security Reform Thursday: Week Sixty-Six -- The 7.65% Solution. » Trivia Tidbit Of The Day: Part 373 -- Rasmussen Dead On Again.I Shouldn't Have Doubted- In 2004, Rasmussen Reports was the most accurate polling firm, by far. When Zogby and Gallup and the rest had it drastically wrong (typically tilting in the direction of Senator Kerry), Scott Rasmussen's polls were amazingly precise and predictive. Those of us who remembered Rasmussen's success in 2002 relied on his "pro-Bush" polling in 2004 to keep us sane, when, based on what the others were saying, it looked like we'd almost certainly have John Kerry "reporting for duty." Over the past few weeks and months, I thought for sure that Rasmussen must have lost some of that magic this year. Surely some of these polls are off. How on earth could Debbie Stabenow be up by so many in Michigan? And George Allen, no way will that one be so close. Surely Mike DeWine isn't down by double digits in Ohio. And so on. Nope. I was wrong. The polls from Rasmussen Reports were dead on again: ![]() Congrats to the folks at Rasmussen Reports. I apologize for doubting. It won't happen again.
Previous Trivia Tidbit: A Successful Tax Experiment In Need Of Replication. Posted by Will Franklin · 8 November 2006 10:29 PM CommentsThere are very good statistical reasons to distrust polls, Rasmussen or not. Posted by: rightwingprof at November 9, 2006 11:22 AM |