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![]() « Trivia Tidbit of the Day: Part 802 -- Private Employee Income Down, Government Payouts Up. | WILLisms.com | Trivia Tidbit of the Day: Part 804 -- Leave Texas Alone. » Trivia Tidbit of the Day: Part 803 -- Republican Wave Election In 2010?1994 Versus 2010- How much is 2010 going to be like 1994? Probably a good deal. But, then again, not. The ever-astute Michael Barone runs down some key polling around the country pointing to a big wave election in November: Such signs abound for Democrats these days. For example, Republican Jim Renacci leads incumbent Democrat John Boccieri 47%-36% in Ohio 16. Boccieri won this district, which had been held by Republicans since 1950, by a 55%-44% margin in 2008. He switched from no to yes on the health care bill in March 2010. That doesn’t seem to have helped. Indeed, the latest Rasmussen poll shows Republicans with an 8 point lead over Democrats, generically-speaking. Taking a look at the latest "Crystal Ball" scenario, Republicans are projected to make gains, but we're in such a deep hole that it is unlikely that Republicans will control Congress after the 2010 elections: ![]() At this point, the Crystal Ball believes Republicans would pick up 32 House seats if the midterm election were held today—an increase from our earlier estimate of 27. How do we arrive at the number 32? We have 13 Democratic-held seats clearly leaning to the Republican Party, with 22 more races as pure toss-ups that may well go GOP—minus the three Republican seats tilting to the Democrats. Looking at specifics, Democrats have to defend more vulnerable seats than Republicans-- seats they had no business winning in the first place. ![]() Democrats have a lot more seats to defend, although most of them are "Likely" holds due to the power of incumbency and the way some of these districts tend to vote. Republicans, on the other hand, have practically bottomed out: ![]() When even "Mavericky" anti-establishmenty Democrat Senator Russ Feingold is virtually tied with his Republican opponent in Wisconsin, you know some crazy things are going to happen this year. Key points: 1. Republicans will almost certainly make big gains in 2010. Previous Trivia Tidbit: Private Employee Income Down, Government Payouts Up. Posted by Will Franklin · 27 May 2010 10:48 AM CommentsGreat site. A lot of useful information here. I’m sending it to some friends! Posted by: forex robot at May 27, 2010 05:10 PM Hello. And Bye. Posted by: laliTaftent at May 28, 2010 07:54 AM majority control is not yet necessary, but enough to block passage via filibuster should do. 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