WILLisms.com on Twitter
The Babe Theory Of Political Movements.
Mar. 21, 2005 11:50 AM
Iran's Sham Election In Houston.
June 20, 2005 5:36 AM
Yes, Kanye, Bush Does Care.
Oct. 31, 2005 12:41 AM
Health Care vs. Wealth Care.
Nov. 23, 2005 3:28 PM
Americans Voting With Their Feet.
Nov. 30, 2005 1:33 PM
Idea Majorities Do Matter.
May 12, 2006 6:15 PM
Twilight Zone Economics.
Oct. 17, 2006 12:30 AM
The "Shrinking" Middle Class.
Dec. 13, 2006 1:01 PM
From Ashes, GOP Opportunities.
Dec. 18, 2006 6:37 PM
Battle Between Entitlements & Pork.
Dec. 21, 2006 12:31 PM
Let Economic Freedom Reign.
Dec. 22, 2006 10:22 PM
Biggest Health Care Moment In Decades.
July 25, 2007 4:32 PM
Unions Antithetical to Liberty.
May 28, 2008 11:12 PM
Right To Work States Rock.
June 9, 2008 12:25 PM
Ace of Spades
Social Security Reform Thursday.
January 29, 2008
Caption Contest Archive
Jan. 21, 2009
The Carnival Of Classiness.
Mar. 14, 2006
Quotational Therapy: Obama.
Apr. 4, 2008
Mainstream Melee: Wolfowitz.
May 19, 2007
Pundit Roundtable: Leaks.
July 9, 2006
A WILLisms.com(ic), by Ken McCracken
July 14, 2006
Powered by Movable Type 3.17
Site Design by Sekimori
WILLisms.com January 2009 Book of the Month (certified classy):
The WILLisms.com Gift Shop:
This Week's Carnival of Revolutions:
Carnival Home Base:
Trivia Tidbit of the Day: Part 844 -- America's Economy Would Be Far Worse Without Texas.
2000-2010 Job Growth, Or Lack Thereof-- Plus Foreclosures-
Since 2000, America has lost a lot of private-sector jobs. A lot of them. Texas has gained a ton of private-sector jobs over the same period. Gobs.
Imagine if Texas wasn't around or was its own-- ahem-- country. Think about how much worse our national economic picture would be right now:
Indeed, new foreclosure numbers are out, and they aren't pretty (154 out of 206 metropolitan areas with at least 200,000 residents posted an annual increase in foreclosure activity between January and June), but the Texas mortgage foreclosure rate is about half what it is nationally.
Still, the report found that there are some remarkably untroubled markets, many of them in the Northeast, Midwest and Texas, where home prices never really bubbled during the boom and have not fallen very far during the bust.
The Atlantic has more data, showing that many Texas cities have among the lowest foreclosure rates in the nation.
Jobs. Foreclosures. Migration. GDP growth. Basically every indicator shows strength in Texas and weakness in the most liberal states such as California.
Previous Trivia Tidbit: America's Recession Not Created Equal.
Trivia Tidbit of the Day: Part 843 -- America's Recession Not Created Equal.
2009-2010 Job Growth, Or Lack Thereof-
A supporter of the Perry campaign passed along a site, called Texanomics, which is pretty new and fairly sparse thus far, but which has two really great graphs.
This one covers the job growth in America over the past year. Texas accounts for more than half of U.S. job growth (among job-adding states):
Interesting that Texas comes in first, and Indiana comes in second, as these two states in early 2009 turned down Unemployment Insurance stimulus dollars from the federal government, which would have meant expanding government benefits.
Think there might be a connection there?
Previous Trivia Tidbit: Jobs In Texas.
Trivia Tidbit of the Day: Part 842 -- Texas Job Growth.
2005-2010 Job Growth, Or Lack Thereof-
From 2005 to 2010, 11 states (including Washington, D.C. as a "state") added any private-sector jobs. Texas was one of those 11 states.
The other 40 states lost private-sector jobs over the past five years.
In the 40 states that lost private-sector jobs, the total loss was 5,094,900.
In the 11 states that gained private-sector jobs, the total gain was 588,800.
The net private-sector job loss in America from 2005 to May 2010 was therefore 4,506,100.
From 2005 until May 2010, Texas added a net 474,400 private-sector jobs.
Texas created 80.57% (474,400/588,800) of all the private-sector jobs created in America's private-sector job-adding states, from 2005 through May 2010.
This also means that Texas created more private-sector jobs than all other states combined. TIMES FOUR+:
Think Texas might be onto something? It's one of the only large states with an unemployment rate below 10%. The other 10 private-sector job-adding states (and D.C., the non-state "state") since 2005 are all Republican, with the exceptions of Washington and Washington, D.C.
Previous Trivia Tidbit: Every Texas City Doing Better Than Every City Elsewhere.
Trivia Tidbit of the Day: Part 841 -- Every Texas City In Top Quintile Of Economic Recovery.
Not Accidental, Not Because Of Democrats-
Every Texas metropolitan area that is in the top 100 nationally in population is in the top fifth of overall economic performance, according to the left-of-center Brookings Institute:
Texas liberals look at that and say, "yeah, good job Democrat mayors, who control these major cities."
This is wrong on so many levels.
First, the true explosive economic growth and job growth in these metro areas is in the Republican-leaning suburban counties such as Montgomery and Fort Bend (outside of Houston), Williamson and Hays (outside of Austin), Collin and Denton (outside of Dallas), and so on. How do Democrat mayors get credit for the growth that is happening outside of their purview? Often, the real growth is happening outside of their purview because of the onerous nature their purview.
Second, why is it that every Texas city is included in this list? Is it just a coincidence that all the Texas cities perform well, while the Democrat-controlled cities like Chicago, most of the cities in California, cities in the Northeast, cities in Florida, and so on all suck economically? Get real. The fact that these cities are in Texas and not elsewhere has almost everything to do with their success.
Third, and this may be the most important rebuttal of the three:
The ample number of medium-sized conservative towns in Texas-- Midland and Amarillo for example-- are performing even better than the big cities like Dallas or Houston. I don't think you can point to a single place in America-- other than Washington, D.C.-- that has been immune to this recession, but, without a doubt, Texas and a handful of smaller conservative states lead the nation, economically.
Texas is the number one exporting state, 8 years in a row, and the trend is accelerating.
Only eleven states added private-sector jobs from 2005 to 2010, and thirty-nine lost them. Among those eleven states that added any private sector jobs over the past 5 year period, Texas is responsible for the creation of 80.57% of all private-sector jobs in America.
In other words, since 2005, Texas created more private sector jobs than all other states combined-- multiplied by 4.15.
Previous Trivia Tidbit: Obama's Deficits.
Trivia Tidbit of the Day: Part 840 -- Obama's Deficits.
Lately, we have heard liberals defending President Obama by invoking President Reagan's admittedly large deficits. While it is absolutely true that Reagan's plan for winning the Cold War was to build up our defenses and leave the Soviets unable to keep up (hey, it worked!), and defense spending escalated dramatically in the 1980s, deficits weren't nearly as high as they are today:
The Obama deficits are double that, and more than one-third higher than even the Gipper's worst year. What explains this? Part of it is that Democrats are simply spending much more, sending outlays as a share of GDP above 25% for the first time since World War II. The White House now says outlays will be higher in 2011, at 25.1% of GDP, than at the height of the stimulus in 2009 and 2010.
Reagan also cut non-defense spending and fought for tax relief, which grew the economy, ultimately generating more wealth and more tax revenue over the medium/long term.
Previous Trivia Tidbit: Facts About Redistricting.
Trivia Tidbit of the Day: Part 839 -- Everything You Need To Know About Redistricting.
Redistricting is happening next year. Elections at the state and local level this year may determine the balance of power in the U.S. Congress for the next decade.
More than 4 in 5 state legislative seats in America are up for grabs, with the vast majority of those elections being "contested":
A total of 6115, or 83 percent, of the nation’s 7382 state legislative seats are up for grabs in 2010 in the 46 states holding regular elections.
In terms of legislative chambers, Democrats hold the majority in 60, Republicans in 36, and two, the Alaska Senate and Montana House, are tied. After netting just under 100 seats in the 2008 election cycle, Democrats now hold 55.4 percent of the partisan held seats in state legislatures compared to the 44.4 percent with Republican incumbents. Third party legislators and independents continue to hold only a small fraction of all seats. This is the Democratic high water mark since the aforementioned 1994 election when Republicans added more than 500 legislators to their ranks. As of now, there are 802 more Democrats serving in legislatures than Republicans.
It is especially important that reddish states adding Congressional seats after the 2010 Census elect Republican majorities to their state legislatures.
Republicans clearly have a lot of work to do, but history is on our side.
History shows that the President's party loses not only federal Congressional seats but legislative seats as well. The exceptions were 2002 and one cycle during the Great Depression:
Another trend that works in favor of the GOP is the three-in-a-row syndrome. Democrats have increased their legislative numbers in each of the past three election cycles with their biggest surge being in 2006 when they added 322 seats. Neither party has netted seats in four consecutive elections since Democrats capped off a string of winning four elections in a row in 1936.
Trends and history, plus the general "wave" year for Republicans, bode well for 2010.
Here is the battleground:
It's time for "the South" (Alabama, et al.) to cast off those Democrat legislators and put in some Republicans who will draw the Congressional districts properly. It's important for Texas to elect a big Republican majority, because Texas will gain 3 or 4 Congressional seats next year, and we all remember what the Democrats did last time redistricting came up. They fled the state.
Previous Trivia Tidbit: Job Growth In The States, Or Lack Thereof.
Trivia Tidbit of the Day: Part 838 -- Job Growth In The States, Or Lack Thereof.
Over Past Year, Texas Has Created More Jobs Than Any Other State-
From June 2009 to June 2010, Texas (with ~8% of America's population) has created nearly a third of all net new jobs in America (as a fraction of job-creating states). Over that same time period, among the states adding any jobs, Texas created more than 46% of all private-sector jobs:
Beginning in January of 2010, the Texas job growth trajectory is even higher. Texas has added 166,100 jobs in the 2010 calendar year, far more than any other state.
Previous Trivia Tidbit: Obama's Job-Killing Drilling Moratorium.
Trivia Tidbit of the Day: Part 837 -- Obama's Job-Killing Drilling Moratorium.
Gulf State Economies Harmed-
Obama is adding insult to injury when it comes to the Gulf region:
The analysis addresses the negative impact the six-month offshore drilling moratorium will have on the US, both directly and indirectly. It estimates 12,046 full-time jobs will be lost nationwide, not only on oil rigs, but also in associated industries.
Obama hates Gulf Staters.
Previous Trivia Tidbit: Think U.S. Debt Is Bad Now? Wait Another Decade.
Trivia Tidbit of the Day: Part 836 -- Think U.S. Debt Is Bad Now? Wait Another Decade.
America's Debt Projections-
This is no good:
The chart [above] examines the Congressional Budget Office’s (CBO’s) most recent Long-Term Budget Outlook projections for the next 25 years of federal debt held by the public. Projections are shown under the CBO baseline, alternative scenario, and the alternative scenario incorporating crowding-out effects (data from this most-likely scenario are only given through 2027 because at this gargantuan level of debt CBO models simply break down).
No good at all.
Previous Trivia Tidbit: Regionalization Of The Coming Republican Wave.
Trivia Tidbit of the Day: Part 835 -- Where Will The Republican Wave Happen?
Regionalization Of American Politics-
Some interesting figures about where the Republican wave may come from this year:
To regain control of the House, the GOP must flip a significant number of Democratic-leaning seats in two key regions where Republicans were once competitive, but lately have not been.
I tend to believe the West is where Republicans will make the most gains, as those voters tend to be more small-l libertarian and thus more in line with the Republican Party. This goes for the House and Senate alike.
If all the Democrats named Reid lose in Nevada, for example, it will be a great year for Republicans.
Previous Trivia Tidbit: Voting With Your Feet.
Trivia Tidbit of the Day: Part 834 -- Voting With Your Feet.
Americans Choosing Policies That Make Sense-
While Washington is mired in the muck of la-la-land solutions for serious problems, Americans are still taking charge, voting with their feet, and moving to states where they can find opportunity.
Movers.com notes that Texas has the highest move-in rate of all the states:
The state with the highest ratio of inbound-to-outbound relocation is Texas, with North Carolina and Florida coming in second and third. These states are seeing population growth, according to Moving.com’s relocation statistics. The states seeing the most people leave without inbound moves to replace them are Michigan, New York and Ohio. Moving.com statistics show Dallas as the No. 1 inbound-to-outbound metropolis in the nation, followed by Houston. Phoenix takes a close third. The other side of the spectrum shows Detroit, San Jose, and Philadelphia as seeing the most outbound Movers.com-assisted relocations.
Every single state has people moving in and moving out, every year. Indeed, many of the fastest-growing states, even Texas, see huge numbers leave each year, but the net impact of people moving in and moving out is what is important.
Texas nets the most inbound minus outbound for this latest ranking:
It should also be noted that although California continues to have a high rate of people moving in, they have even more moving out.
Send Obama a message this November that his victory in 2008 was a vague mandate for "hope," not a specific mandate for sweeping socialism.
Previous Trivia Tidbit: CNBC Ranks Best States For Business.
Trivia Tidbit of the Day: Part 833 --Texas Number One State For Business.
Best Score Ever-
Meanwhile, 74% of Americans say the Obama stimulus either damaged the economy or had no effect:
Elect Republicans in November.
Previous Trivia Tidbit: Government Growth Outpaces Private Sector Growth.
Trivia Tidbit of the Day: Part 832 -- Government's Growth.
Public Sector Growth Outpaces Private Sector-
Government consumption and investment have generally grown more quickly than private expenditures and investment during the last decade. In the last ten years, the private sector has, on average, grown 1.2 percent annually, while the government has, on average, grown 3.5 percent annually:
Notice the brief interlude between the major Bush tax cuts of 2003 and the Democrats' huge victories in 2006-- when the private sector was the driving force in the economy.
America needs less socialism, more free enterprise.
Previous Trivia Tidbit: All Four Texas Cities Have The Lowest Unemployment Rates Among Major Metro Areas, Nationally.
Trivia Tidbit of the Day: Part 831 -- All Four Texas Cities Have The Lowest Unemployment Rates Among Major Metro Areas, Nationally.
Houston, Dallas, San Antonio, and Austin All Rank Best-
At the risk of sounding like a broken record (this is important stuff, so get over it)-- among all the major metro areas in the nation, Texas has four of them. All four have the lowest, second lowest, third lowest, and fourth lowest unemployment rates.
Texas is succeeding:
In the meantime, we're due for what could be the largest tax increase in American history at the beginning of 2011. Thanks, Democrats.
Remember in November. Send a message to Obama and the Democrats who are ruining America:
The President matters, but so do Governors, Senators, Representatives, Mayors, State Legislators, and school board members. Vote Republican.
Previous Trivia Tidbit: Texas Has The Lowest Unemployment Of All Large States.
Trivia Tidbit of the Day: Part 830 -- Texas Has The Lowest Unemployment Of All Large States.
7 Of The 10 Largest States Have Higher Unemployment Than National Average-
Large states seem to be plagued with higher unemployment than in the nation as a whole, but Texas has the lowest unemployment of all the 10 largest states.
No state is absolutely immune to this continuing national economic turmoil, but, clearly, Texas is doing something right. Lower taxes, more freedom, smaller government-- these are the paths to prosperity.
A reddish bluish purply state, Ohio, with its high, progressive personal income tax rates and pro-union labor market, is on the wrong path, and the LeBron James saga illustrates this perfectly:
Because Florida has no income tax, LeBron's home game income tax liability is zero. On the other hand, were LeBron to play in Cleveland, he would pay Ohio's progressive tax with a top rate of 5.925% plus Cleveland's flat income rate of 2% on all 41 home games. On LeBron's Cleveland salary of about $244,000 a game, LeBron would be paying $9,900 in tax on each game he plays for the Cavaliers, compared to zero playing for Miami. In other words, James would be losing almost all of his salary advantage for playing with Cleveland, and that is only for half of his games.
Considering that Cleveland's entire economy is based on LeBron James (see video below), his decision will have major repercussions for Ohio. LeBron leaving Ohio to go to Florida is emblematic of the flood of successful people leaving high tax states and heading to places like Florida and Texas. These CEOs and entrepreneurs are taking thousands of jobs and billions of dollars in capital along with them.
Ironman over at Political Calculations notes that CEOs are increasingly choosing places like Texas over places like California.
No wonder IHS Global Insight has projected Texas as the fastest growing economy over the next five years:
Notice that most of these projected fast-growing states are Republican leaning, or, as is the case with Delaware and Washington, at least have conservative-leaning tax policies.
Notice, too, that heavily unionized states like Ohio are not on the list:
Previous Trivia Tidbit: Texas Has More Jobs Than One Year Ago.
Trivia Tidbit of the Day: Part 829 -- Texas One Of Few States To Have More Jobs Today Than One Year Ago.
Texas Didn't Get Here By Accident-
Even in this terrible national recession, Texas is hanging in there, adding jobs.
Mr. President, did the stimulus work?
Ben Domenech asks and answers this very pertinent question:
Moreover, both the Texas mortgage foreclosure rate and delinquency rate are among the lowest in the nation.
On top of that, more Americans now say they want to move to Texas than any other state, even sunny Florida or California.
It is exasperating that we have this abundant evidence in front of us of Texas' relative success both economically and in terms of cleaning up the air, and this abundant evidence of the stimulus' complete failure, yet there are still those out there who argue for another stimulus, or for the federal government to supersede Texas' taxing/regulatory structure.
It is insanity.
Previous Trivia Tidbit: Visual Of Texas Job Creation.
Texas Media Bias.
Back in late March, Rasmussen Reports released a study showing that shady liberal trial lawyer Bill White received far more positive media coverage than Governor Rick Perry.
If anything, it's gotten even more slanted since then.
This visual of recent media bias in the Texas gubernatorial campaign really just speaks for itself:
How are these graphs not shameful and embarrassing to anyone involved in reporting news on this race?
Jonah Goldberg argues that the collective media establishment is so liberal and out-of-touch, they treat conservatives as strange, foreign creatures:
In America, self-identified conservatives outnumber self-identified liberals by 2 to 1. And yet many of our leading journalistic bastions have found themselves stuck in something akin to media monasteries with a Fort Apache complex.
There are many reasons 24 of the top 25 American newspapers are experiencing stunningly rapid declines in circulation.
The Dallas Morning News: down 21.47% in the year leading up to March 2010.
The one newspaper of the top 25 without a decline? The Wall Street Journal.
Think at least one of the reasons for decline might have something to do with the blatant left-leaning ideological and partisan biases of these newspapers?
Trivia Tidbit of the Day: Part 828 -- Job Creation In Texas Far Outpacing Every Other State.
Texas Continues Dominating What Little National Recovery There Is-
Keep taxes low. Keep regulation fair and predictable. Keep government limited. Get out of the way and leave people alone. It's not rocket science.
Previous Trivia Tidbit: America's Recoveryless Recovery.
Trivia Tidbit of the Day: Part 827 -- Digging Deeper Into June Employment Numbers.
Worst June In 63 Years-
The great Tom Blumer has some startling numbers on June's job figures:
What follows are tables from the Household Survey (used to determine unemployment rates) showing changes in the seasonally adjusted (SA) workforce, whether employed or not, followed by the analogous NSA changes:
The SA number for June is bad enough. In fact, June's seasonally adjusted workforce shrinkage is the largest for any June since 1963.
Read that last line again. June 2010 is the worst June job performance in the 63 years of available data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
If you follow my tweets, you will have already seen this, but Texas over the past several months has created more jobs than California, Illinois, Florida, North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, Colorado, and Washington combined:
The Obama model has failed. The Texas model or relatively limited government, more freedom, and lower taxes is working.
Previous Trivia Tidbit: Kerry-Lieberman Bad For America.
Trivia Tidbit of the Day: Part 826 -- Kerry-Lieberman Bad For America.
The American Power Act Would Harm Our Already Fragile Economy-
John Kerry and Joe Lieberman, with their America Power Act, are essentially saying, "I'm from the government, and I'm here to help":
* The American Power Act would reduce U.S. employment by roughly 522,000 jobs in 2015, rising to over 5.1 million jobs by 2050. * Households would face a gross annual burden of $125.9 billion per year or $1,042 per household, with costs disproportionately borne by low-income households. * On a net basis, the top income quintile will benefit financially, redistributing to these households roughly $12.3 billion per year from the bottom 80 percent of earners. * Households over age 75 bear the largest burden at 2.3 percent of income, followed by households aged 65-74 and under age 25 at 2.1 percent. By contrast, the nation’s highest-earning households between age 45 and 54 years would bear the smallest percentage burden of just 1.5 percent.
Yes, it makes total sense in this national recession to enact something that will burden every income level with higher costs:
We don't need any more Washington solutions this year, thanks.
Previous Trivia Tidbit: What's The Matter With Kansas?
Visualizing Party Convention Speeches By Texas Governor Rick Perry & Liberal Trial Lawyer Bill White.
Earlier this week, a good friend of the Perry campaign emailed these great word clouds of the state party convention addresses by Rick Perry and Bill White.
You can watch Governor Perry's convention speech at http://GovernorPerry.blip.tv:
Read More »
Disclosure: I work for the campaign of Texas Governor Rick Perry. As always, thoughts expressed on WILLisms.com are my personal thoughts. See this post for more on all of that.
« Close It
Trivia Tidbit of the Day: Part 825 -- What's The Matter With California?
A Tale Of Two Economies-
For years now, in books and documentaries and conferences and papers and op-eds and speeches, liberals have been asking, "What's the Matter with Kansas?"
The left-wing thesis being that conservative Republican Kansans, who place social issues and values above all else in their political calculations, are voting against their own economic self-interest.
Democrats typically draw their support from the very top and very bottom income levels. From elites (and wannabe elites) who think they know what's best for everyone else, and those near the bottom who fall for what the elites are peddling.
Kansans, in just about every sense of the word, are middle Americans. Geographically. Economically. They absolutely should be Republicans. To answer the question, there is nothing the matter with Kansas.
But let's pretend the liberal Kansas thesis holds up.
Let's pretend that America really is neatly bifurcated into wealthy and not wealthy. Under that scenario, Kansans would be "not wealthy." Californians would be "wealthy."
Californians therefore vote against their alleged economic self-interest for the same (albeit converse) reasons as Kansans.
What's the matter with California?
Wealthy and successful Californians who vote for Democrats because they are culturally liberal on gay marriage, abortion, or other social issues are voting against their economic self-interests.
See how that works?
Mark J. Perry looks at what Californians are doing to themselves:
In the latest issue of Chief Executive magazine, results were published for the “Best and Worst States for Business 2010,” based on a January survey of 651 CEOs from around the country. The business leaders rated the business climates of all 50 states and the District of Columbia on: a) taxation and regulation, b) quality of workforce, and c) living environment. For the second year in a row, Texas ranked No. 1 in the country, while California ranked dead last at No. 51 for the second straight year. California was the only state in the nation to get a letter grade of “F” from the CEOs for the category “Taxation and Regulation.”
Indeed, in recent years, California Democrats' leftward lurch has driven the leftward lurch of the national party, and it has helped drive resource-rich California into bankruptcy. Democrats have become a lot more liberal than Republicans have become conservative:
What is the matter with California?
...in the 1976 presidential election, the difference between Jimmy Carter and Gerald Ford was less than 10 percentage points in 45 of counties with two-thirds of the state’s voters and more than 20 points in only two counties with less than 10 percent of the state’s voters. In contrast, in the 2008 presidential election, the difference between Barack Obama and John McCain was less than 10 percentage points in only 12 counties with less than a quarter of the state’s voters and more than 20 points in 25 counties with more than half of the state’s voters.
I think it's abundantly clear that far-left Democrats, as they become even more liberal, are what's the matter with California.
Previous Trivia Tidbit: Home Sales Sharply Down In America, Up In Texas.