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Willisms

« Trivia Tidbit of the Day: Part 838 -- Job Growth In The States, Or Lack Thereof. | WILLisms.com | Trivia Tidbit of the Day: Part 840 -- Obama's Deficits. »

Trivia Tidbit of the Day: Part 839 -- Everything You Need To Know About Redistricting.

States Matter-

Redistricting is happening next year. Elections at the state and local level this year may determine the balance of power in the U.S. Congress for the next decade.

More than 4 in 5 state legislative seats in America are up for grabs, with the vast majority of those elections being "contested":

A total of 6115, or 83 percent, of the nation’s 7382 state legislative seats are up for grabs in 2010 in the 46 states holding regular elections.
2010legislatures.gif
In terms of legislative chambers, Democrats hold the majority in 60, Republicans in 36, and two, the Alaska Senate and Montana House, are tied. After netting just under 100 seats in the 2008 election cycle, Democrats now hold 55.4 percent of the partisan held seats in state legislatures compared to the 44.4 percent with Republican incumbents. Third party legislators and independents continue to hold only a small fraction of all seats. This is the Democratic high water mark since the aforementioned 1994 election when Republicans added more than 500 legislators to their ranks. As of now, there are 802 more Democrats serving in legislatures than Republicans.

It is especially important that reddish states adding Congressional seats after the 2010 Census elect Republican majorities to their state legislatures.

Republicans clearly have a lot of work to do, but history is on our side.

History shows that the President's party loses not only federal Congressional seats but legislative seats as well. The exceptions were 2002 and one cycle during the Great Depression:

sittingpresidentsloselegislativeseats.gif
Another trend that works in favor of the GOP is the three-in-a-row syndrome. Democrats have increased their legislative numbers in each of the past three election cycles with their biggest surge being in 2006 when they added 322 seats. Neither party has netted seats in four consecutive elections since Democrats capped off a string of winning four elections in a row in 1936.

Trends and history, plus the general "wave" year for Republicans, bode well for 2010.

Here is the battleground:

legislatures.gif

It's time for "the South" (Alabama, et al.) to cast off those Democrat legislators and put in some Republicans who will draw the Congressional districts properly. It's important for Texas to elect a big Republican majority, because Texas will gain 3 or 4 Congressional seats next year, and we all remember what the Democrats did last time redistricting came up. They fled the state.

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Previous Trivia Tidbit: Job Growth In The States, Or Lack Thereof.

Posted by Will Franklin · 22 July 2010 11:01 AM

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