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Willisms

« Trivia Tidbit of the Day: Part 915 -- China's Rise. | WILLisms.com | Trivia Tidbit of the Day: Part 917 -- Low Taxes Attract People, Jobs. »

Trivia Tidbit of the Day: Part 916 -- Icing The Kicker.

It Actually Works-

There is a correlation between icing the kicker and field goal percentage in the NFL:

timeout.gif
Of the 163 field-goals attempted when a timeout was not called before the kick, 80.4 percent were successful. But in the 110 cases when the kicker was iced, the success rate dropped to 66.4 percent... .... Not surprisingly, kickers were more successful when their team called the timeout (83.3 percent), than they were when the opposing team did (64.4 percent).

I'd like to dive into the data further and determine whether certain kicks may have been deemed more ice-able by coaches, while certain other kicks may have been deemed less ice-able. Would a coach burn a timeout on a 20-yard chip shot on a sunny day with no wind? Or are coaches more likely to call that timeout with the intent of icing when the kicker is already facing tougher odds-- a 40 or 50 yard field goal, with poor weather, wind, etc. etc.

There may in some ways be a self-selection type of bias. Coaches may try to ice kickers when the circumstances of the kick are more difficult, because they understand that icing may increase the pressure just that much, while some coaches may not even bother trying to ice the kicker if it's truly a gimme.

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Previous Trivia Tidbit: China's Rise.

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Posted by Will Franklin · 28 December 2010 02:58 PM

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